Union tops trend barometer: SPD star falls for third week in a row

The Union at the top of the trend barometer
SPD star drops for third week in a row

In the Sunday question of the RTL/ntv trend barometer, the SPD lags further behind the Union. The gap increases to three percentage points while the other parties stagnate. This is scary news for the left.

SPD approval has dropped four percentage points in three weeks. In the Sunday question of the RTL/ntv trend barometer, only 23% of respondents said they wanted to vote for the Social Democrats. This continues the negative trend of the past few weeks. For the Chancellor Party, whose not always very clear course in Ukrainian politics has recently been controversial, this is worrying in view of the regional elections in Schleswig-Holstein next weekend and those in North Rhine-Westphalia, where the elections will be held on May 15. . Union benefits from the Forsa Institute survey and increases by one percentage point to 26%.

The other two parties at the traffic lights remain stable: the Greens at a good 20% unchanged. The FDP is still at 9%, as is the opposition party AfD. For Die Linke, on the other hand, the stagnation of their approval ratings is extremely worrying: for the fifth consecutive week, the party is below the paramount value of 5%, with 4% approval, which is a precondition to enter the Bundestag even without a direct mandate. Even in the current Bundestag, the left is only represented in the parliamentary groups thanks to three direct mandates. Allegations of sexual assault within the party and an alleged lack of sensitivity to the issue within the party leadership further complicate the crisis of the only party to the left of the ruling factions.

Concern over world war and rising energy prices

At first glance, the fact that support for the SPD is declining cannot be attributed to the Chancellor. In a direct comparison, 43% of those polled would choose Olaf Scholz in a direct election – one percentage point more than the previous week. Opposition leader Friedrich Merz can also gain a percentage point with 19%.

Another value indicates that voters’ doubts are directed more towards the SPD as a whole: only 13% of respondents named the party when asked who would be best placed to solve Germany’s problems. At the beginning of April, 20% of those questioned still named the Social Democrats. The Greens were the only ones to gain ground on this issue over the same period, and 15% of those polled now trust them with this problem-solving ability – the best value of any party. The Union arrives at 7%, the FDP at 3%.

The subject of most concern to people remains the war in Ukraine, cited by 84% of respondents. 35% mention the topic of energy, followed by the corona pandemic with 34%. When asked about their biggest concerns at the moment, 65% of respondents cite “the financial burden of constantly rising prices”. Just as many respondents fear “that the war in Ukraine will lead to a third world war”.

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